Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 44.918161 51.629545 58.615977 66.400025 74.799535 83.560933 93.361445
2024-10-20 34.125927 43.417162 53.665868 65.676792 79.239575 93.962727 111.037484
2024-10-27 26.987600 37.333924 49.285642 63.835585 80.808328 99.744018 122.233412
2024-11-03 24.013187 35.514492 49.285225 66.530182 87.120491 110.532590 138.790309
2024-11-10 21.238880 33.501637 48.687987 68.199812 91.979660 119.464034 153.091306
2024-11-17 17.836165 30.246585 46.194984 67.248905 93.454730 124.244538 162.425286
2024-11-24 14.991383 27.377050 43.891271 66.266651 94.670441 128.546922 171.064773
2024-12-01 13.000049 25.448831 42.615957 66.415950 97.143531 134.258166 181.309337
2024-12-08 11.311600 23.752152 41.486268 66.615518 99.573907 139.846484 191.365205
2024-12-15 9.990349 22.450137 40.776066 67.268077 102.506748 146.007196 202.095742
2024-12-22 8.420332 20.545423 39.050262 66.419080 103.402356 149.572508 209.616948
2024-12-29 7.569088 19.729567 38.831934 67.577685 106.878785 156.347951 221.084558
2025-01-05 6.818128 19.014419 38.733276 68.910180 110.631978 163.558062 233.223699
2025-01-12 5.697665 17.460255 37.235293 68.174412 111.571038 167.168998 240.891752
2025-01-19 4.513316 15.562992 35.034403 66.288926 110.849430 168.571830 245.735127
2025-01-26 4.301440 15.629376 35.999198 69.047339 116.481631 178.202194 260.980018
2025-02-02 3.931953 15.297560 36.270506 70.755956 120.665292 185.964407 273.891926
2025-02-09 3.196446 13.997389 34.809474 69.782884 121.073052 188.764425 280.485745
2025-02-16 2.561964 12.778934 33.382644 68.777608 121.372861 191.380320 286.818761
2025-02-23 2.153450 12.034658 32.733631 68.930414 123.280076 196.106782 295.859016
2025-03-02 1.802771 11.353974 32.143111 69.134667 125.236170 200.888764 304.975713
2025-03-09 1.540280 10.859742 31.860127 69.802504 127.846643 206.546156 315.238683
2025-03-16 1.184846 9.932187 30.663554 68.933618 128.185259 209.123656 321.489977